If we stop that process and we just let the balance sheet stay at a high level and Rosetta Stone V3 keep the policy rate near zero, and keep our extended period language, we could pause for a couple of meetings like that. And then we could start to take other measures to start to reduce the size of the balance sheet, to think about possible language changes with the extended period, to eventually get the policy rate off zero.""That's my preferred sequence." "The balance sheet doesn't have to come all the way back to normal before we can start raising interest rates. That is a complication of this tightening cycle that has not been around in previous tightening cycles."MARKET REACTION TO TIGHTENING"Obviously if you start to reverse, all the effects will go into reverse, but that is just normal tightening of monetary policy. If you start to raise rates, if you start to tighten monetary policy as the economy improves so that you don't get too much inflation in the long run or the medium term.""The tightening I am describing will have real effects (on markets), but will be done in the context of an improving economy and will keep inflation right at the target if we do Rosetta Stone language software it right."ON GROWTH PROSPECTS"In the United States, the recession officially ended in the summer of 2009, so as 2011 started we were about 18 months past the end of the recession, and that's about the kind of timing when I would expect the economy to pick up and start growing fairly rapidly.""Anecdotal reports are certainly more bullish for both U.S. growth prospects and global growth prospects. There's a lot of profitable businesses and they have a lot of cash and they have an improving outlook and I think they are looking for more opportunities.""Many firms that can tap into the continuing boom in Asia are doing quite well."ON U.S. FISCAL SITUATION"The fiscal situation is very serious and (Fed) chairman (Ben) Bernanke has emphasized this on a number of occasions. It's really incumbent on Congress to come to an agreement and contain the very large deficits in the U.S., help set the long-term fiscal path to something more sustainable in the US and if you look at the negotiations that are going on, it's not that clear how they are going Rosetta Stone Indian to do it.""Failure to do that, I think, would be a risk for the U.S. and for the global recovery and I think it's really important to get an agreement in congress on these issues."
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